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Projects: Projects for Investigator
Reference Number JOULE/2/1
Title The development and socio-economic analysis of low carbon pathways for aviation in the North West
Status Completed
Energy Categories Energy Efficiency(Transport) 25%;
Not Energy Related 50%;
Other Cross-Cutting Technologies or Research(Environmental, social and economic impacts) 25%;
Research Types Basic and strategic applied research 100%
Science and Technology Fields SOCIAL SCIENCES (Economics and Econometrics) 25%;
SOCIAL SCIENCES (Business and Management Studies) 25%;
SOCIAL SCIENCES (Politics and International Studies) 25%;
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES (Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences) 25%;
UKERC Cross Cutting Characterisation Sociological economical and environmental impact of energy (Environmental dimensions) 25%;
Sociological economical and environmental impact of energy (Policy and regulation) 25%;
Sociological economical and environmental impact of energy (Consumer attitudes and behaviour) 25%;
Sociological economical and environmental impact of energy (Other sociological economical and environmental impact of energy) 25%;
Principal Investigator Prof K (Kevin ) Anderson
No email address given
Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering
University of Manchester
Award Type Standard
Funding Source Joule Centre
Start Date 01 October 2007
End Date 30 June 2009
Duration 24 months
Total Grant Value £257,916
Industrial Sectors No relevance to Underpinning Sectors
Region North West
Programme
 
Investigators Principal Investigator Prof K (Kevin ) Anderson , Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, University of Manchester (100.000%)
Web Site
Objectives Objectives not supplied
Abstract The aviation industry is one of the fastest growing sectors of the UK economy and the most problematic in terms of its impact on the climate. Currently aviation accounts for over 6% of UK carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and, according to Government figures, growth in emissions for the year 2003-4 were in excess of 11%. It is expected that this year emissions from aviation will be similar to those from car travel in the UK. By 2020 it will be the sector with the second highest emissions and by 2030 it is likely to dominate UK CO2 emissions. Whilst for many sectors, technology offers substantial short to medium-term opportunities to significantly reduce emissions, within the aviation sector only incremental refinements to an already technically-mature industry are credible before 2030. Consequently, improvements in aircraft and engine design combined with operational practices, offer only a 1% per annum reduction in fuelburn per passenger per km. Exacerbating this absence of a significant increase in fuel efficiency is the long design-life of aircraft, effectively locking society into the current technology for at least the next 30-50 years. Recent research has clearly demonstrated that unless aviation growth is tackled as a matter of urgency, this single industry will absorb the complete carbon dioxide budget of the UK if the Government’s commitment to the 2°C threshold is to be met. There is some uncertainty surrounding the contribution aviation makes to regional and national productivity and economic growth although various reports provide empirical evidence of the positive contribution of aviation to the economy. These conclusions however, have been challenged with suggestions that there is an absence of robust empirical evidence, the assessments are not rigorous and the methodology employed is in some cases flawed. Also previous research conducted does not reveal the major hidden costs such as tax breaks and environmental clean up of aviation. With the publication of the 2003 Energy White Paper, there is increasing evidence that ultimately it will be the responsibility of the regions to achieve the requisite emission reductions. The North West (NW) has, in many respects, demonstrated leadership on the climate change issue, with the North West Development Agency’s (NWDA) imminent launch of their climate change strategy representing the latest contribution. However, in the absence of a thorough understanding of the regions aviation emissions arising from its three principal airports, any strategy will be at best partial, and at worse misleading. This project will provide a detailed understanding of aviation’s contribution to the regional economy how and why NW aviation emissions are rising and, more particularly, it will inform the ongoing development of the NW climate change strategy.
Publications Anderson, K. (2006). The development and socio-economic analysis of low carbon pathways for aviation in the North West. Project Summary, Joule Centre (PDF 70 KB)
Final Report Wood, R., Bleda, M., Randles, S., Anderson, K., Bows, A. and Footitt, A. (2010). Aviation in the North West: Emissions, Economics and Organisational Flying. Summary Report by the Tyndall Centre, University of Manchester for the Joule Centre. (PDF 795 KB)
Added to Database 12/01/12