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CCS sector development scenarios in the UK - Final report


Citation Durusut, E., Slater, S., Murray, S, and Hare, P. CCS sector development scenarios in the UK - Final report, ETI, 2015. https://doi.org/10.5286/UKERC.EDC.000157.
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Author(s) Durusut, E., Slater, S., Murray, S, and Hare, P.
Project partner(s) Element Energy Ltd, Pöyry
Publisher ETI
DOI https://doi.org/10.5286/UKERC.EDC.000157
Download 2015-04-30-ETI-CCS-sector-development-scenarios-Final-Report.pdf document type
Abstract This report aims to extend the Energy Technology Institute’s (ETI) modelling analysis of the role of carbon capture and storage (CCS) in enabling the UK to meet its carbon budgets efficiently. ETI’s energy system modelling uses robust engineering analysis and cost evidence within its Energy System Modelling Environment (ESME). ESME analysis suggests that without CCS, the cost of reaching UK Climate Change targets will double from a minimum of around £30bn per year in 2050. Apart from its role in power generation, CCS enables flexible low carbon energy by capturing industrial emissions, through gasification applications and by delivering negative emissions in combination with bio-energy.

Enabling CCS to realise its potential and play this key role will require substantial investment in building the sector over the period to 2030. ESME scenarios suggest that acost-optimal 2050 energy system would require building a sector storing ca. 100 million tonnes of CO2 by 2050. To reach this target requires that the CCS sector and associated infrastructure will need to be extensively developed by 2030, storing ca. 50 million tonnes of CO2 with ~10 Gigawatts (GW) of power CCS and contribution from industrial sources. Delaying development of this capacity beyond 2030 would expose the UK to substantial cost and deployment risks in meeting carbon budgets.

If delays were to permanently stunt the growth of CCS in the UK the likely impact is a substantial increase in the economic burden of meeting carbon targets, arising from the need to deploy higher cost technologies to cut emissions, particularly in heat and transport. As suggested above, a complete failure to deploy CCS would imply close to a doubling of the cost of carbon abatement to the UK economy from circa 1% to 2% of GDP.
Associated Project(s) ETI-CC1026: Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal
Associated Dataset(s) No associated datasets
Associated Publication(s)

Achieving cost-effective CCS: the route forward

An ETI Perspective - Storage, storage, storage -key observations from our Strategic UK CO2 Storage Appraisal project

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Data and Information Requirements

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Due Diligence and Portfolio Selection

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Initial Screening and Down-Select

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - Captain Subsea Option - MVD (No Goldeneye)

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - SITE 5: Viking Minimum Viable Development

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - Site 19: Hamilton Minimum Viable Development

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - Site 2: Forties 5 - South Site

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - Site 7: Bunter Closure 36 Minimum Viable Development

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Level 2 Cost Estimate - Site 7: Bunter Closure 36 Minimum Viable Development

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Progressing Development of the UK’s Strategic Carbon Dioxide Storage Resource - A Summary of Results from the Strategic UK CO2 Storage Appraisal Project

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Prospect Summary Sheets

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - Request for Proposal

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - UK CO2 Storage Site Screening and Selection Methodology

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5 Report - Forties 5 Aquifer Storage Site Selection Study

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5A - Bunter Storage Development Plan

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5B - Forties 5 Site 1 Storage Development Plan

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5C - Hamilton Storage Development Plan

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5D - Captain X Site Storage Development Plan

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP5E - Viking A Storage Development Plan

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal - WP6 - CO2 Storage Development Build-out

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - SITE 14: Captain Aquifer

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - Site 19: Hamilton

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - Site 2: Forties 5 (North and South Combined)

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - Site 5: Viking

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - Site 7: Bunter Closure 36

Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal Project - WP8 Addendum