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PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Detailed Report on Computer Modelling (WP3.4)


Citation Bonsall, P., Cross, J., and Shepherd, J. PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Detailed Report on Computer Modelling (WP3.4), ETI, 2011. https://doi.org/10.5286/UKERC.EDC.000734.
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Author(s) Bonsall, P., Cross, J., and Shepherd, J.
Project partner(s) Shell Research Ltd, E.ON Engineering (UK) Ltd, Electricité de France SA (EDF SA), IBM, The MathWorks, Inc, Ove Arup & Partners Ltd, Ricardo, TRL Limited, Institute for Transport Studies - University Of Leeds, University of Aberdeen, University
Publisher ETI
DOI https://doi.org/10.5286/UKERC.EDC.000734
Download LDV_TR1003_4.pdf document type
Abstract The Plug-in Vehicle Economics and Infrastructure: Economics and Carbon Benefits project is a strategic level analysis of the potential size of the market for plug-in vehicles, the total level of investment needed and the total carbon offset for the UK.

This is a detailed report on the modelling work undertaken in the Economics and Carbon Benefits project. It should be read as a supplement to the final Economics and Carbon Offset Analysis Final Report.

Results are presented in terms of
  • whole life emissions from the vehicle parc (including the achievement, or otherwise, of target reductions). The whole life emissions are also subdivided into emissions associated with usage and emissions associated with production and scrappage;
  • Exchequer spend and revenues;
  • the sustainability of the market for PiVs; and
  • the deployment and sustainabilityof public charge points
The base case scenario demonstrates a switch from gasoline towards diesel with limited uptake of PiVs; PiVs make up only 19% of the parc by 2050 and BEVs only make up 0.6%. The other themed scenarios show the effect of changes in scenario and policy variables to represent themes such as most/least favourable conditions for PiV sales, minimised emissions, green emphasis, impact of high/spiked oil prices and a variety of GDP growth assumptions. Analysis and cross-comparison of their results demonstrates which scenario/policy groupings have a significant impact.
Associated Project(s) ETI-TR1003: PIVEI: Large Scale Consumer Trial S1 SP3 - Economics and Carbon Benefits
Associated Dataset(s) No associated datasets
Associated Publication(s)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Economics and Carbon Offset Analysis - Final Report (WP3.6)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Energy Scenarios Comparison Report (WP3.5)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Executive Summary (WP3)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Generic Business Models for Plug-in Vehicle Environment (WP3.1)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: New Revenue Opportunities within Plug-in Vehicle Environment (WP3.3)

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Request for Proposal

PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Scenario Development Final Report (WP3.2)