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Reference Number NIA_CAD0043
Title Gas Demand Forecast - Phase 3 - Hydrogen
Status Completed
Energy Categories Fossil Fuels: Oil Gas and Coal(Oil and Gas, Refining, transport and storage of oil and gas) 10%;
Hydrogen and Fuel Cells(Hydrogen, Hydrogen transport and distribution) 90%;
Research Types Applied Research and Development 100%
Science and Technology Fields ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY (Mechanical, Aeronautical and Manufacturing Engineering) 100%
UKERC Cross Cutting Characterisation Not Cross-cutting 100%
Principal Investigator Project Contact
No email address given
Cadent Gas
Award Type Network Innovation Allowance
Funding Source Ofgem
Start Date 01 July 2019
End Date 01 October 2019
Duration ENA months
Total Grant Value £25,603
Industrial Sectors Energy
Region London
Programme Network Innovation Allowance
 
Investigators Principal Investigator Project Contact , Cadent Gas (99.998%)
  Other Investigator Project Contact , Northern Gas Networks (0.001%)
Project Contact , Cadent Gas (99.998%)
Project Contact , SGN (0.001%)
  Industrial Collaborator Project Contact , Cadent Gas (0.000%)
Web Site https://smarter.energynetworks.org/projects/NIA_CAD0043
Objectives The project will utilise both desktop based and feedback from each GDN about how they see the take up of hydrogen across their networks.This will then be developed into an initial high-level picture / storyline for each GDN area as to the penetration / volumes of hydrogen in the network we will see, and the likely timing for this. a. This storyline will be discussed with and agreed with each GDN on an iterative basis, before carrying out the carbon savings analysis. b. The storyline at a REGIONAL level will be built up, considering:i. The current levels of research activities / projects around hydrogen taking place at the regional level likely to drive small differences in the timing of when we start to see hydrogen being injected into the distribution networks in significant volumes. ii. The location of potential hydrogen towns or hydrogen cities i.e. identify the towns / cities that are testing or seriously considering hydrogen conversion in the future. If a number of these towns / cities fall in the same GDN network, this could accelerate uptake of hydrogen compared to other networks.iii. Where hydrogen is likely to be produced in the UK, in the short term. In the longer term, we can assume that hydrogen availability will be similar across the UK, but the next 5,10, 15 years, it will likely appear in pockets in certain regions. This will drive differences in the volumes of hydrogen and timing of this in the different GDN networks. iv. The mix of industrial sectors in each GDN region. Some industrial sectors are more suitable for hydrogen than others if we see higher concentrations of these industries in a GDN area compared to others, this could influence the speed of uptake of hydrogen in that network. We will utilize the data on the industrial sectors in the GDN Gap Analysis study to support this. This will be distilled into a simple % evolution of the share of the gas network that could be hydrogen for each GDN network (with a clear and simple storyline built around the 4 points above).The output from above will then feed into an excel-based modelling to derive the carbon savings the hydrogen could deliver at different times in the future. a. utilising the % hydrogen penetrations identified above in the different regions.b. use the annual gas demand forecasts for each sector (from the recently carried out GDN project). The key elements of this study used are:i. Residential gas demand forecasts to 2050 (see figure 2 below)ii. Commercial sector gas demand forecast to 2050iii. Industrial sector gas demand forecast to 2050 (see figure 3 below)The output of this will be total carbon savings at the regional that could be realised at different years in the future (e.g. 2030,2040, 2050) as hydrogen penetration grows.Resulting in a report which can be added to the previous project outputs. The project shall consider all the UK and how the hydrogen demand may vary across it. The potential deployment of hydrogen at blend and full conversion levels. The project will focus on hydrogen for heat and Industry in detail with high level commentary regarding transport and power generation demand. This scenario should be built up considering: Regional differences between the GDNs: the mix of industries at the regional level, the level of current hydrogen activities / trials, and the amount (and type) of renewable generation capacity will influence the deployment of hydrogen differently in each GDN region. Timing of uptake of hydrogen: the timingof deployment of hydrogen needs to be realistic considering the infrastructure changes required, appliance upgrades needed, current activities already taking place in the different regions, the mix of industries across the regions (and timing of switching of these industries to hydrogen). Blending versus 100% conversion
Abstract The project will utilise both desktop based and feedback from each GDN about how they see the take up of hydrogen across their networks.This will then be developed into an initial high-level picture / storyline for each GDN area as to the penetration / volumes of hydrogen in the network we will see, and the likely timing for this.
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Added to Database 14/12/22